Forecast — subject to change as the stage approaches.
0.0°C(about average)vs the 1974-2023 average at this location (ERA5): 24.4°C
24.4°Cpeak in the race window
Moderate low-risk · 21°C WBGT (est.)Schematic — real elevation, approximate route between known points, not survey-accurate. Fill colored by temperature.
Decade trend — deviation from the 50-year mean at this location
A day this hot (≥24.4°C, ERA5 at this location) occurred 43× in 1974-1983 vs. 87× in 2014-2023.The threshold here is a forecast, compared against the ERA5 historical record — forecast models and reanalysis can differ slightly even for the same date/location.
WBGT is an estimate — see methodology. Data as of 2026-07-22T06:01:15.536Z.